Reading time
2 mins
January 24, 2019
Development

Birds Eye View - Summer 2018/2019

An introduction to the Summer 2018/2019 BERL Birds Eye View.

Yes, it’s 2019 already, and it seems a particularly perilous time to engage in forecasting the economy.  But that’s our job.  It shouldn’t surprise that the story to start us off in 2019 revolves around the rest of the world. In the shadow of the BREXIT debacle, slowing growth in the Chinese economy, US monetary policy (interest rates) tightening, a partial but prolonged shutdown of the US Government, exaggerated stock market volatility, and China-US sabre-rattling, it is unremarkable that there is a slowing in New Zealand’s economic growth rate. But job numbers, continue to expand and, most remarkably – despite the aforementioned global jitters as well as a resurgent NZ$ – the New Zealand export sector is reporting strong growth in receipts. 

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Birds Eye View incorporates BERL Forecasts, our flagship publication issued quarterly since 1957. In-depth articles cover employment and migration, money and credit, exchange rates, investment, building activity, and includes our forecast data tables.

Commentary explains the economic situation in New Zealand and of our trading partners. We'll discuss exports, inflation, retail trade, government accounts and important topics of the day.

The BERL Birds Eye View is produced quarterly and delivered free straight to your inbox. Register below to start receiving BERL Birds Eye View.