BERL has been publishing quarterly forecasts and economic commentary since 1957, offering insights into New Zealand’s economic trends, policy changes, and future prospects.

Stay informed with expert perspectives on demographic shifts, climate change impacts, and fiscal and monetary policies.
Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Spring 2024

Infrastructure is a topic of focus in New Zealand. While our historical investment levels are comparable to other countries, our efficiency lags behind.    
 

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Winter 2024

Current demographic trends will define our future workforce. Young people today, particularly Māori, must be equipped with the skills they need to thrive in the workforce

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Summer 2024

As New Zealand grapples with economic challenges we consider what lies beyond the Government’s first 100 days. Will tax relief and spending cuts provide stability? 

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Spring 2023

We look to the year ahead, highlighting the key changes to policy and economic conditions in 2024, including the risks and opportunities ahead.

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Winter 2023

It’s nearly election time and the rising cost of living is front and centre in the lead up to the big day.

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Autumn 2023

Looking at the history of GDP as a measure for economic development, and the rise of well-being economics and alternative methods for measuring successful societies.

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Summer 2023

We take a look at the potential impacts of climate change on Aotearoa New Zealand, and provide an explainer on the economics of disasters and climate change.

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Spring 2022

In the final edition of the Birds Eye View for the year, we take a look at the evolution of the tourism industry through COVID. 

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Winter 2022

While a recession is off the cards, for now, it may be too early to celebrate. A marked slowdown in 2023 is looking likely. 

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Autumn 2022

In this edition of the BEV, we shine a light on migration trends that have shaped our current population, and what the recent policy developments mean for the future.

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Summer 2022

In the Summer 2022 edition of the BEV, we take stock of the latest key economic indicators shaping our recovery from the pandemic, and what we can expect from Omicron.

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Spring 2021

In our Spring 2021 BEV we look for clues to the state of the economy in inflation, GDP, fiscal accounts, and unemployment data among others.

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Winter 2021

It was all going so well....

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Autumn 2021

Recovery continues, but there are ongoing risks

Quarterly Economic Brief Archive

Summer 2021

An encouraging bounce back from the economic effects of COVID-19