The net inflow of migrants is well past its peak of about 72,000 people a year. For calendar 2019 it is forecast to be down to 30,000 people. Excluding migration, New Zealand population has usually increased by 30,000 a year due to births less deaths. This 30,000 plus the 30,000 in 2019 from migration means our services will still be stretched.
With New Zealand Customs announcement of the removal of departure cards from November 2018, there will be a focus on the new migration measures produced by Statistics New Zealand that will replace the current measure. The current migration measure is based on the information from travellers on their intended length of stay in New Zealand recorded on the cards. To be a permanent migrant into New Zealand you need to intend to stay for at least 12 months, otherwise you are defined as a short-term visitor to New Zealand.
The estimated resident population of New Zealand reached 4,885,300 end of June 2018, according to StatsNZ. Population change in New Zealand is calculated based on natural increase (births minus deaths) and net migration (international migrant arrivals minus departures).
In the year to June 2018, net migration to New Zealand was 65,000 . This was significantly lower than the peak level of just over 72,300 in the middle of 2017, but it was still very high by historical standards. In fact, the net migration of 65,000 added approximately 1.3 percent to the country’s population.
In the five years 2014 to 2018 net inflow of intending migrants will have totalled 320,000. If we’d planned that we would have built before they came. Now we’re playing catch-up. Luckily the inflow is slowing.
Immigration has been a hot topic in the recent election and it is no secret that net migration has been increasing over the past few years.
Shortly after I arrived in the country early in 2003, Statistics New Zealand announced that the resident population had reached 4 million. And, who knows, I might actually have been number 4,000,000.
There is a new normal.
The old chestnut of immigration has surfaced again. Co-incidentally, an election is nigh too. This makes it doubly opportune that we get some facts out there.
The scale of our migrant flows for the last three years are quite out of the ordinary.
Net migration for New Zealand reached 70,600 in the year to December 2016. The net inward migration seen in 2016 comes from 127,300 arrivals, and 56,700 departures. As shown in the figure to the right, the last time New Zealand had annual outward migration was in the year to December 2012 when 1,200 more people left than arrived.
In the year to December 2016, Auckland was the top spot for net migration in New Zealand. Auckland had 33,900 net permanent migrants, with 55,300 permanent arrivals and 21,400 permanent departures.
On an annual basis, rises in arrivals of migrants with Resident visas and falls in arrivals of migrants with Student visas are driving the increase in annual net migration.
Net migration swelled New Zealand’s population by a record 67,619 in the 2016 March year. Quite a change from the 2012 March year, which recorded an annual net migration loss of 3,383. What happened?
How will the New Zealand economy fare during 2016 and beyond? As always, opinions vary, but the Treasury, for one, foresees a slowing of growth during the early part of the year, followed by a period of acceleration lasting until early in 2018.
On 21st July 2015, Statistics New Zealand (SNZ) released data on the international migration for the year to June 2015. New Zealand net migration reached a new peak of 58,259 for the year to June 2015. Although, this new peak is just 437 people higher (or an increase of 0.8 percent) than the previous peak of 57,822, reached in the year to May 2015.
In November 2014, Statistics New Zealand (SNZ) has released data on the international migration for the year to October 2014.
In November 2014, Statistics New Zealand (SNZ) has released data on the international migration for the year to October 2014, and for the first time ever net migration to New Zealand has reached 47,684 for the year to October 2014.
The overall picture of net permanent and long-term migration is playing out very much as we have commented for some time. The main driver of the wide cyclical fluctuations in the past has been changes in the numbers of New Zealand residents leaving, particularly for Australia. Two years ago the outflow to Australia was 56,000. This outflow has dropped and is quite flat at about 30,000 a year.
In July 2014, Statistics New Zealand (SNZ) has released data on the international migration for the year to June 2014.
15,790 more people arrived in New Zealand than left, for the year ending September 2013. According to Statistics New Zealand’s September 2013 international travel and migration data, New Zealand is seeing continued gains in net permanent migration, after recovering from negative net migration in 2011 and 2012.
Kiwis migrating to Australia have doubled in the last 10 years from 25,000 in 2003, to over 51,000 in the year to March 2013. The love affair with Australia is fickle, and the slightest cloud on the Australian economic horizon causes the number trekking over to thin out.
New Zealand registered a small, yet positive, net migration inflow for the year to January 2013. New Zealand attracted 85,659 people for permanent and long -term migration. This compared with 85,647 departures for the year, which are 1,077 people less than a year earlier.
New Zealanders permanently migrating to Australia have hit another new record high, according to the April release of international travel and migration data from Statistics New Zealand.
New Zealanders permanently migrating to Australia has hit a new record high according to the March release of international travel and migration data from Statistics New Zealand.
On 5 March 2012, Statistics New Zealand released their international migration data for January 2012.