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Anaemic economy: 173,000 to Oz in four years not enough!

Employment growth continues to fall.  It dropped from 43,000 a year ago to just 12,000 in the 12 months to June 2012.  That 12,000 increase is nowhere near enough to employ the increase in the number of people who want to work.  Even this meagre employment increase could well become negative in the next six months if the trend over the last year continues. 

A positive month for external trade

A surge in dairy and forestry exports contributed to a strong monthly surplus of $331m.  June figures showed a 25% increase in forestry export volumes and an 8% increase in dairy exports.  However, monthly figures are prone to erratic movements – depending on holidays, shipping timetables and the like.

Credit where credit is due

Treasury’s latest Monthly Economic Indicators conclude that the “domestic economy is looking in relatively good shape”, while acknowledging that “the global outlook worsened further in July, with downside risks increasing”.  It sees “a pick up in coming quarters” that will see inflation accelerate and spare capacity be absorbed (by growth).

Weak trade surplus in July

July was positive month for New Zealand trade, with a slight trade surplus of $15 million.  Yet, our trade deficit increased from $756 million in June to $825 million this month based on annualised values.